Support for the New Patriotic Party (NPP) is declining while the National Democratic Congress (NDC) is gaining ground, according to early results from the ongoing March 2026 tracking poll by Global Info Analytics.

Speaking on JoyNews’ Desk programme on March 23, the firm’s Executive Director, Musa Dankwa, said the data shows a shift in party affiliation, particularly among previously undecided voters.

“We asked people to tell us which party they normally vote for, or which party they feel affiliated with—not necessarily a member, just a party they identify with,” he explained.

The proportion of Ghanaians openly identifying with the NPP has dropped slightly, from 26% in December 2025 to 25% in the latest poll. In contrast, the NDC has seen a notable increase, with many gains coming from floating or previously undisclosed voters.

“There were losses across NPP, floating voters, and those who don’t disclose, and that number went to NDC,” Mr. Dankwa said.

Regional Shifts

The poll highlights changes in key regions, including traditional NPP strongholds:

- Ashanti Region: NPP support down to 34%, NDC at 30%

- Eastern Region: NDC leads with 41%, NPP at 29%

- Northeast Region: NDC now dominant

Mr Dankwa described these trends as a warning sign for the governing party.

National Picture

At the national level, the shift is more pronounced. Ahead of the 2024 elections, NPP had 37% support versus NDC’s 33%. The current poll shows NPP at 25% and NDC at 46%, widening the gap between the two parties.

The disparity is even greater in swing regions:

- Greater Accra, Central, and Western Regions: NPP 22%, NDC 58%

Mr Dankwa suggested the trend may reflect internal challenges within the NPP. “Something must be wrong somewhere. They need to do an introspection to understand what is going on,” he said.

He added that much of the NDC’s gains appear to come from voters who were previously undecided or unwilling to disclose their political preference.